Lecce vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
14%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
31.6%
Draw
0-0
14.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.6%
34.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
SAM
0 - 0
LEC
66%
22%
11%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 1
RIM
61%
26%
13%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
VIC
1 - 0
LEC
63%
24%
14%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 0
ATL
55%
29%
17%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1981 |
LEC
2 - 3
ACM
24%
29%
47%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1981 |
BAR
1 - 0
LAZ
34%
32%
35%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1981 |
LAZ
2 - 0
SPA
65%
23%
12%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
RIM
1 - 3
LAZ
33%
32%
35%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
BOL
2 - 0
LAZ
66%
20%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1981 |
LAZ
0 - 0
USF
69%
21%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |