Lecce vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
71.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 1
INT
15%
20%
65%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 2
VIC
49%
23%
28%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1977 |
SSS
4 - 1
LEC
36%
31%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
JUV
1 - 1
LEC
93%
6%
2%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
LEC
2 - 2
PAL
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1977 |
VIC
2 - 4
JUV
22%
27%
51%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1977 |
INT
1 - 0
JUV
32%
28%
40%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1977 |
JUV
1 - 1
LEC
93%
6%
2%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
JUV
0 - 1
INT
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1977 |
SAM
0 - 2
JUV
22%
26%
52%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |