Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 2-4
Lecce vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
47.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2000 |
INT
1 - 1
LEC
74%
17%
10%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
LEC
1 - 1
COS
65%
22%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
COS
0 - 2
LEC
26%
26%
48%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
PAR
4 - 1
LEC
70%
19%
12%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
LEC
2 - 1
TOR
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2000 |
INT
1 - 1
LEC
74%
17%
10%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
RCH
0 - 3
INT
25%
27%
48%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2000 |
LAZ
4 - 3
INT
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
INT
0 - 0
HEL
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2000 |
HEL
1 - 0
INT
28%
28%
44%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |