Lecce vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
11.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2007 |
PES
2 - 1
LEC
23%
24%
53%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
LEC
1 - 1
NAP
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
CES
0 - 0
LEC
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
LEC
1 - 2
VIC
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
SPE
0 - 2
LEC
22%
26%
52%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 1
VER
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
VER
2 - 1
CES
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
NAP
1 - 0
VER
62%
24%
14%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
VER
0 - 3
MAN
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
FRO
2 - 1
VER
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |