Lecce vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 2
LEC
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 1
NAP
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2003 |
TER
0 - 0
LEC
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAG
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
LEC
2 - 1
GEN
61%
23%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
VER
2 - 2
GEN
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
TRI
3 - 1
VER
40%
27%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
VER
1 - 0
ASC
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
VIC
4 - 1
VER
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
VER
4 - 1
MES
61%
23%
16%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |