Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 1-5
Lecce vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
LEC
2 - 0
VIR
83%
13%
4%
|
74 | 37 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
VIR
0 - 0
LEC
14%
23%
63%
|
75 | 37 | 38 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
LEC
0 - 2
INT
19%
28%
53%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
SAM
3 - 0
LEC
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAR
44%
29%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
TAR
1 - 0
VER
30%
31%
40%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
VER
0 - 0
SAL
67%
22%
11%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
ASL
1 - 0
VER
34%
31%
35%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1991 |
VER
2 - 0
UDI
53%
27%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
VER
1 - 0
AVE
66%
22%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |