Lecce vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.9%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
15.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
29.5%
53.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
19.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.3%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
JUV
4 - 0
LEC
87%
9%
4%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
LEC
0 - 3
ROM
22%
31%
47%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
LEC
1 - 4
COM
48%
30%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
PIS
3 - 0
LEC
60%
24%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
LEC
2 - 2
AVE
42%
29%
30%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
VER
1 - 0
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
PIS
0 - 1
VER
32%
29%
40%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
VER
2 - 0
BAR
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
UDI
5 - 1
VER
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
ATL
0 - 0
VER
32%
29%
40%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |