Lecce vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
EMP
1 - 1
LEC
50%
26%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
LEC
2 - 2
VNZ
59%
22%
18%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1997 |
USF
0 - 0
LEC
56%
24%
21%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
PAD
0 - 0
LEC
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
LEC
1 - 2
REG
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1997 |
BAR
1 - 1
GEN
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1997 |
GEN
1 - 0
CES
73%
18%
9%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1997 |
COS
0 - 0
GEN
28%
28%
45%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1997 |
GEN
3 - 0
USC
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1997 |
ASL
0 - 3
GEN
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |