Lecce vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
13%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.9%
16%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
PIA
3 - 1
LEC
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
LEC
0 - 0
BRE
60%
25%
15%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
MOD
0 - 0
LEC
33%
32%
35%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
LEC
2 - 0
LAZ
62%
24%
14%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
PAD
1 - 1
LEC
51%
28%
22%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1987 |
GEN
2 - 0
BRE
51%
29%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1987 |
MES
1 - 0
GEN
49%
28%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1987 |
GEN
1 - 0
UDI
41%
28%
32%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1987 |
USC
0 - 0
GEN
57%
25%
17%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1987 |
GEN
2 - 3
BAR
51%
29%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |