Lecce vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
26.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
PES
1 - 1
LEC
53%
27%
20%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
ARZ
0 - 0
LEC
46%
29%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAT
53%
28%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
PIS
3 - 1
LEC
54%
30%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
LEC
1 - 1
EMP
51%
27%
22%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 1984 |
GEN
1 - 0
CAG
62%
24%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1984 |
PAR
0 - 0
GEN
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1984 |
GEN
2 - 2
CES
64%
25%
11%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1984 |
BAR
1 - 0
GEN
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1984 |
GEN
3 - 2
SSS
65%
24%
11%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |