Girone B Playoffs Girone B Final
Global 2-4
Lecce vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 0
BEN
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 1
LEC
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PIS
1 - 0
LEC
25%
26%
49%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 0
FRO
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
GRO
0 - 1
LEC
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
FRO
2 - 1
PIS
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
PIS
0 - 0
FRO
40%
26%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
PRG
1 - 0
FRO
46%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FRO
3 - 0
LAQ
71%
19%
10%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 0
FRO
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |