Lecce vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
VIC
1 - 3
LEC
26%
26%
48%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
LEC
0 - 0
MES
56%
24%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 4
LEC
29%
28%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
LEC
3 - 0
ABN
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 0
LEC
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
ABN
2 - 0
FRO
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2008 |
FRO
0 - 0
BRE
30%
27%
43%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
MOD
2 - 2
FRO
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
FRO
0 - 0
VIC
54%
24%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
CES
3 - 0
FRO
38%
26%
35%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |