Lecce vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
39.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
VER
2 - 1
LEC
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2001 |
LEC
0 - 0
JUV
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
BRE
1 - 1
LEC
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
MES
2 - 1
LEC
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
PIA
1 - 2
LEC
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2001 |
COM
2 - 0
FIO
15%
23%
62%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
FIO
3 - 1
VNZ
69%
18%
13%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2001 |
FIO
2 - 1
DNI
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ROM
2 - 1
FIO
61%
21%
18%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
DNI
0 - 0
FIO
24%
26%
49%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |