Lecce vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
30.2%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.2%
33.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
CES
3 - 1
LEC
45%
28%
27%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
LEC
1 - 1
TOR
35%
30%
35%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
ATL
2 - 1
LEC
54%
27%
20%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
LEC
1 - 1
ROM
24%
28%
48%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
JUV
0 - 0
LEC
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
FIO
4 - 1
CAG
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1991 |
GEN
3 - 2
FIO
44%
29%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1991 |
FIO
0 - 0
NAP
36%
29%
35%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1991 |
PAR
1 - 0
FIO
34%
31%
35%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1991 |
FIO
4 - 0
PIS
62%
23%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |