Lecce vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
52.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
CAS
1 - 1
LEC
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
ATL
2 - 0
LEC
54%
29%
18%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
LEC
2 - 1
ARZ
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
ACM
4 - 2
LEC
81%
15%
5%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
LEC
1 - 3
BOL
42%
31%
27%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
PES
0 - 2
FIO
18%
27%
55%
|
82 | 47 | 35 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
PIS
0 - 0
FIO
33%
32%
35%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
FIO
3 - 1
SAM
66%
22%
12%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
NAP
1 - 0
FIO
43%
30%
27%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
FIO
1 - 0
ASC
63%
23%
15%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |