Lecce vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MOD
0 - 0
LEC
33%
27%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 3
FRO
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
PIA
3 - 2
LEC
34%
26%
40%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
LEC
3 - 0
ANC
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
SAM
6 - 2
LEC
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CRO
0 - 0
CES
46%
26%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
EMP
3 - 1
CRO
70%
20%
10%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
CRO
0 - 0
BRE
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
SAS
2 - 0
CRO
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ASC
3 - 1
CRO
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |