Lecce vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
15.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1988 |
USC
0 - 1
LEC
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
LEC
1 - 0
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
UDI
2 - 2
LEC
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
LEC
3 - 1
TRI
61%
25%
14%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
GEN
0 - 0
LEC
45%
31%
24%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1988 |
FCC
3 - 2
MOD
60%
24%
16%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1988 |
SSB
1 - 2
FCC
45%
28%
28%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
FCC
1 - 1
LAZ
51%
29%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1988 |
ARZ
0 - 0
FCC
37%
32%
31%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1988 |
FCC
3 - 0
PAD
55%
28%
17%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |