Lecce vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
LEC
6 - 0
CAV
60%
24%
16%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
UDI
2 - 1
LEC
85%
10%
5%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
LEC
0 - 3
SAM
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
BAR
1 - 1
LEC
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1984 |
PES
0 - 0
LEC
50%
28%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1984 |
FCC
2 - 1
UDI
27%
27%
47%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1984 |
FCC
0 - 1
BAR
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 1984 |
CAV
1 - 2
FCC
41%
29%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1984 |
FCC
1 - 1
SAM
29%
28%
44%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1984 |
FCC
1 - 2
VAR
49%
29%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |