Lecce vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
REG
0 - 1
LEC
22%
25%
53%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
LEC
0 - 0
ASS
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
CTT
2 - 2
LEC
54%
23%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
LEC
2 - 1
VIC
69%
18%
13%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
SPA
1 - 0
LEC
45%
25%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
EMP
5 - 0
SAL
65%
20%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
NAP
3 - 2
EMP
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
NUO
0 - 2
EMP
19%
26%
55%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
EMP
1 - 1
ASC
79%
15%
6%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 3
EMP
38%
25%
37%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |