Lecce vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
LEC
3 - 2
REG
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 3
LEC
25%
25%
49%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 0
SAL
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
CTT
3 - 0
LEC
31%
27%
43%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LEC
2 - 1
MAN
61%
24%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2009 |
EMP
1 - 1
TRI
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
EMP
4 - 2
ASC
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
EMP
33%
30%
38%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GAL
0 - 0
EMP
30%
29%
42%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
EMP
4 - 3
CTT
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |