Lecce vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
16.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.1%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
25.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
LEC
0 - 0
SAM
48%
28%
24%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
CAG
1 - 1
LEC
78%
16%
7%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1981 |
PAL
0 - 0
LEC
59%
26%
15%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1981 |
LEC
1 - 0
TAR
53%
29%
18%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1981 |
PES
1 - 1
LEC
62%
24%
14%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
COM
1 - 1
SSS
64%
23%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1981 |
SAM
1 - 0
COM
53%
27%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
COM
2 - 1
BOL
36%
33%
31%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
BRE
1 - 0
COM
60%
25%
15%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1981 |
COM
0 - 1
NAP
30%
34%
36%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |