Lecce vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
26%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
PAL
2 - 0
LEC
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASL
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
COS
2 - 1
LEC
54%
26%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1995 |
LEC
0 - 1
ATL
32%
29%
39%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
CES
2 - 1
LEC
66%
21%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
CHI
2 - 1
VNZ
55%
25%
21%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1995 |
ASC
0 - 0
CHI
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1995 |
CHI
1 - 3
SAL
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
PRG
2 - 1
CHI
39%
30%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1995 |
CHI
2 - 1
ACI
68%
21%
12%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |