Lecce vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
9.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
LEC
1 - 0
SSS
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
PAL
1 - 2
LEC
34%
29%
38%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
LEC
2 - 0
ATL
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
PES
2 - 0
LEC
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
LEC
2 - 1
NOV
71%
19%
10%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1977 |
CAT
1 - 1
BRE
49%
31%
20%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
TER
1 - 1
CAT
55%
27%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
CAT
1 - 0
MOD
50%
30%
20%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1977 |
ASS
3 - 0
CAT
53%
29%
18%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1977 |
CAT
1 - 0
AVE
45%
31%
24%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |