Lecce vs Castel Sangro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1997 |
BRE
0 - 0
LEC
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
LEC
2 - 2
SAL
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
COS
0 - 0
LEC
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
LEC
4 - 1
ASL
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
RAV
0 - 0
LEC
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Sangro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1997 |
CAS
2 - 1
TOR
18%
26%
56%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
ASL
2 - 1
CAS
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
CAS
1 - 1
VNZ
37%
28%
35%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
GEN
1 - 3
CAS
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1997 |
CAS
1 - 0
REG
39%
29%
33%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |