Lecce vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
LEC
0 - 3
JUV
25%
29%
45%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1987 |
CES
2 - 1
LEC
55%
24%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1987 |
CES
0 - 0
LEC
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1987 |
CAG
0 - 1
LEC
44%
31%
26%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1987 |
LEC
2 - 0
MES
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1987 |
CAS
1 - 0
FCC
45%
23%
31%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
EMP
2 - 0
CAS
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
CAS
3 - 1
PES
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
COM
2 - 1
CAS
74%
18%
8%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
CAS
1 - 0
ARZ
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |