Lecce vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
11º
20º
17º
2
7º
20º
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
8 | 86 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 78 |
2º
|
45% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 72 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 71 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
9 | 70 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 65 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 59 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 58 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
1º
|
11 | 52 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 50 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 50 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 43 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 43 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 41 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 40 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
4 | 36 |
17º
|
15.5% | |
|
20º
|
1 | 35 |
18º
|
17% | |
|
|
19º
|
2 | 33 |
19º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 30 |
20º
|
41% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 42% |
|
Relegation
|
38.5% | 58% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
INT
2 - 0
LEC
86%
11%
3%
|
83 | 99 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LEC
0 - 4
ATL
16%
21%
64%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
LEC
0 - 0
MON
83%
13%
5%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
LEC
2 - 1
MAN
76%
16%
9%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LEC
2 - 3
NIC
41%
26%
34%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
CAG
1 - 1
COM
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CAG
0 - 0
ROM
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
CAG
3 - 1
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MOD
2 - 2
CAG
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
CAG
2 - 0
FCC
61%
21%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |