Lecce vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SIE
3 - 0
LEC
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 2
ATL
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 2
LEC
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 2
UDI
27%
24%
49%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LEC
0 - 2
CRO
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAG
0 - 0
UDI
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
PAL
3 - 2
CAG
62%
20%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CAG
2 - 1
NOV
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ROM
1 - 2
CAG
70%
18%
12%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
CAG
5 - 1
ABN
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |