Lecce vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
ROM
2 - 2
LEC
76%
15%
9%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
LEC
4 - 1
BRE
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
LIV
2 - 1
LEC
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
ATL
2 - 2
LEC
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
LEC
2 - 1
REG
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
CAG
2 - 0
SIE
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
FIO
2 - 1
CAG
48%
25%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 3
CAG
38%
26%
36%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
CAG
1 - 0
BOL
36%
26%
39%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2004 |
CAG
3 - 1
FIO
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +2 |