Lecce vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
JUV
4 - 1
LEC
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
LEC
0 - 1
CRO
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
PIA
3 - 2
LEC
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
ARZ
0 - 1
LEC
30%
27%
42%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
FRO
2 - 1
LEC
23%
25%
53%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 2
ACM
16%
26%
58%
|
73 | 94 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
BRE
2 - 2
CRO
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
ARZ
0 - 2
BRE
30%
28%
42%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 0
MAN
62%
23%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
ACM
4 - 2
BRE
84%
12%
4%
|
73 | 94 | 21 | 0 |