Lecce vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ACM
3 - 0
LEC
76%
16%
8%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
LEC
1 - 2
CHI
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
LEC
3 - 1
ANC
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
CAT
3 - 0
LEC
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
LAZ
4 - 1
LEC
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
PAL
1 - 1
BRE
26%
29%
45%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SAM
2 - 1
BRE
38%
27%
36%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
BRE
4 - 4
REG
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
ROM
5 - 0
BRE
71%
18%
11%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
BRE
1 - 1
CHI
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |