Lecce vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
19.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
LEC
1 - 0
SPA
55%
22%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
USF
1 - 0
LEC
70%
17%
13%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
LEC
2 - 3
ACM
1%
16%
83%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1978 |
FCC
3 - 1
LEC
71%
16%
13%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
LEC
0 - 2
PIS
46%
28%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
BRE
3 - 3
CES
43%
28%
29%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
PAL
2 - 1
BRE
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
VER
1 - 2
BRE
71%
19%
11%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
BRE
0 - 1
TOR
18%
28%
55%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1978 |
BRE
0 - 0
BAR
57%
27%
17%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |