Lecce vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
26.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
JUV
5 - 2
LEC
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
LEC
2 - 2
SIE
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
UDI
2 - 1
LEC
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
LEC
2 - 2
FIO
56%
23%
20%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
INT
2 - 1
LEC
75%
16%
10%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 2
LAZ
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
BOL
0 - 1
INT
22%
24%
54%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
MES
0 - 0
BOL
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 1
SIE
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
UDI
0 - 1
BOL
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |