Lecce vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
JUV
1 - 0
LEC
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 1
PIA
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
LEC
2 - 1
VER
54%
24%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ACM
2 - 2
LEC
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 0
PAR
19%
24%
57%
|
77 | 91 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
BOL
2 - 3
ACM
40%
26%
34%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
REG
1 - 0
BOL
25%
29%
46%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 0
PAR
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
TOR
2 - 1
BOL
35%
28%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
BOL
1 - 0
BAR
61%
22%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |