Lecce vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
15.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
20.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1993 |
SPA
1 - 1
LEC
41%
28%
32%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
LEC
1 - 0
VNZ
50%
28%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
LEC
2 - 1
PIS
45%
30%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
ASC
3 - 3
LEC
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
LEC
1 - 1
ASS
65%
23%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1993 |
BOL
1 - 0
COS
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1992 |
MOD
1 - 0
BOL
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1992 |
BOL
2 - 2
USC
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1992 |
VER
1 - 0
BOL
60%
24%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1992 |
BOL
3 - 0
TAR
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |