Lecce vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
27%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1983 |
REG
0 - 0
LEC
56%
28%
16%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
LEC
0 - 0
PIS
47%
29%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
USF
3 - 0
LEC
54%
29%
17%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAV
51%
28%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
PAL
2 - 0
LEC
53%
28%
19%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1983 |
CAT
2 - 1
BOL
49%
29%
22%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
BOL
1 - 1
BAR
59%
26%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
CAV
1 - 0
BOL
40%
31%
30%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1983 |
BOL
0 - 0
CAM
68%
21%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
BOL
1 - 0
ARZ
64%
23%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |