Lecce vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
41.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
LEC
3 - 2
UDI
36%
26%
38%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
NAP
3 - 1
LEC
72%
18%
10%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
LEC
0 - 0
GEN
29%
32%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
UDI
2 - 0
LEC
64%
20%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
UDI
2 - 1
LEC
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1993 |
ATL
4 - 2
COS
71%
17%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1993 |
ATL
1 - 1
USF
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1993 |
JUV
2 - 1
ATL
76%
16%
8%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1993 |
COS
0 - 2
ATL
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1993 |
ATL
1 - 4
SAM
35%
28%
37%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |