Lecce vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
19.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
LEC
1 - 1
SSS
57%
26%
17%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
MAT
0 - 0
LEC
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
LEC
2 - 0
SPA
56%
27%
16%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
COM
2 - 0
LEC
55%
28%
17%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
LEC
2 - 1
TER
53%
28%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
ATL
3 - 1
ASS
49%
31%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
COM
1 - 0
ATL
52%
30%
19%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
ATL
2 - 0
GEN
50%
30%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
PAR
0 - 0
ATL
44%
32%
24%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
ATL
0 - 1
BRE
53%
29%
18%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |