Lecce vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
11.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
VER
1 - 1
LEC
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
LEC
1 - 0
LIV
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
NAP
1 - 1
LEC
43%
27%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
LEC
0 - 0
TER
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
SIE
0 - 0
LEC
31%
28%
42%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
ASC
1 - 1
GEN
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
ASC
1 - 0
ANC
32%
27%
41%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
LIV
2 - 0
ASC
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
ASC
0 - 0
VER
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
SAL
1 - 2
ASC
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |