Lecce vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
24.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1993 |
ASS
1 - 1
LEC
33%
31%
37%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
LEC
1 - 1
TAR
63%
24%
13%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
USC
2 - 0
LEC
51%
27%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
LEC
2 - 1
VER
46%
30%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
MOD
1 - 1
LEC
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1993 |
ASC
1 - 1
ASL
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1993 |
BAR
1 - 1
ASC
53%
27%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1993 |
ASC
4 - 1
TER
73%
18%
9%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1993 |
REG
0 - 0
ASC
51%
27%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
ASC
3 - 0
USC
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |