Lecce vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
51.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
LEC
1 - 1
FIO
20%
28%
53%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
CAS
1 - 1
LEC
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1983 |
ATL
2 - 0
LEC
54%
29%
18%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1983 |
LEC
2 - 1
ARZ
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1983 |
ACM
4 - 2
LEC
81%
15%
5%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1983 |
ASC
3 - 0
PES
79%
15%
6%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1983 |
COM
0 - 1
ASC
34%
27%
40%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
ASC
2 - 0
CAG
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
CES
1 - 1
ASC
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1983 |
ASC
2 - 0
TOR
47%
30%
24%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |