Lecce vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
17.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
21.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
CAG
0 - 0
LEC
56%
28%
16%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
LEC
1 - 0
CAV
52%
29%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
SSS
1 - 2
LEC
48%
31%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
LEC
1 - 0
ARZ
53%
27%
20%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
LEC
0 - 1
TRI
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
ASS
53%
28%
19%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 0
PIS
54%
28%
18%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1984 |
PRG
4 - 1
VAR
47%
32%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
VAR
0 - 0
USC
51%
29%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
COM
0 - 0
VAR
54%
29%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |