Lecce vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
ASS
0 - 1
LEC
65%
23%
12%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 0
CES
46%
30%
25%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
NOC
0 - 0
LEC
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
LEC
0 - 2
PAL
46%
29%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
GEN
1 - 1
LEC
64%
23%
13%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
VAR
3 - 3
BRE
44%
31%
25%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
RIM
1 - 1
VAR
52%
28%
20%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
VAR
0 - 2
CAG
38%
32%
30%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
VAR
0 - 1
PIS
39%
32%
29%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
BAR
1 - 0
VAR
59%
26%
16%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |