Lecce vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
PAR
1 - 0
LEC
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2022 |
FRA
0 - 1
LEC
10%
19%
71%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 3
RTV
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
LEC
1 - 0
POR
83%
12%
5%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
VIC
2 - 1
LEC
17%
25%
58%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CTT
2 - 1
SAN
86%
11%
3%
|
71 | 33 | 38 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
CTT
2 - 0
TRE
81%
14%
5%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2022 |
NUO
1 - 0
CTT
23%
28%
49%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CTT
1 - 0
BRE
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
ASC
0 - 0
CTT
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |