Lecce vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
REG
1 - 1
LEC
44%
27%
29%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
SAM
1 - 0
LEC
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
LEC
0 - 1
USC
60%
22%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
LEC
0 - 2
JUV
26%
30%
44%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1986 |
LEC
2 - 3
JUV
19%
27%
54%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
ASS
2 - 0
SAM
16%
25%
59%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1986 |
USC
4 - 0
ASS
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1986 |
ASS
0 - 1
JUV
12%
23%
66%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1986 |
REG
0 - 0
ASS
58%
23%
18%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1986 |
PAL
2 - 1
ASS
53%
29%
18%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |