Lecce vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.4%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
22.3%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
TAR
0 - 1
LEC
48%
31%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
LEC
3 - 1
PAR
58%
26%
16%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
PAL
3 - 0
LEC
58%
27%
15%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
PAL
3 - 0
LEC
58%
26%
17%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 1979 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAR
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
ASS
1 - 0
SPA
65%
23%
12%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
SAM
1 - 1
ASS
52%
29%
20%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1979 |
ASS
2 - 0
SSS
66%
22%
12%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1979 |
ASS
3 - 0
PIS
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
GEN
1 - 1
ASS
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |