Lecce vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LEC
2 - 3
NIC
41%
26%
34%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HUR
2 - 1
LEC
26%
27%
47%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
GAL
2 - 1
LEC
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 3
LEC
57%
23%
19%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
LEC
5 - 0
USS
94%
5%
1%
|
83 | 7 | 76 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SAS
1 - 2
MAN
30%
25%
46%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
GEN
3 - 2
MAN
80%
14%
6%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
NAP
3 - 0
MAN
87%
10%
3%
|
62 | 94 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
JUS
1 - 4
MAN
47%
24%
30%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 2
CES
25%
23%
52%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |