Lecce vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
22.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
LEC
2 - 2
USC
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
SAL
1 - 1
LEC
43%
27%
30%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
ANC
3 - 0
LEC
57%
23%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
LEC
0 - 0
ACI
68%
21%
12%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
USC
1 - 1
LEC
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
GEN
2 - 0
CES
73%
16%
10%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
CES
3 - 0
ASL
57%
24%
18%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
FIA
1 - 1
CES
38%
30%
32%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
CES
1 - 3
VER
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1994 |
CES
0 - 1
GEN
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |