Lecce vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
21.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
MOD
3 - 1
LEC
43%
28%
29%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
LEC
0 - 0
BRE
58%
26%
16%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
VNZ
2 - 1
LEC
39%
30%
31%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
COS
2 - 1
LEC
40%
30%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
LEC
0 - 1
REG
56%
25%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1992 |
CES
0 - 1
PES
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
PAL
1 - 1
CES
35%
30%
36%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
CES
0 - 0
MES
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
BRE
1 - 1
CES
46%
29%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1992 |
CES
4 - 0
AVE
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |