Lecce vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
22.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1990 |
ACM
3 - 0
LEC
75%
18%
7%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
TOR
2 - 0
LEC
64%
22%
15%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
LEC
0 - 0
ATL
37%
29%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
ROM
3 - 0
LEC
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
LEC
0 - 1
JUV
16%
24%
60%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1990 |
ROM
4 - 1
CES
74%
18%
9%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
CES
2 - 2
TOR
39%
29%
32%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
BOL
0 - 1
CES
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
CES
4 - 2
BAR
50%
28%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1990 |
CAG
0 - 0
CES
41%
30%
29%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |