Lecce vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
11%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
16.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
13%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1987 |
VIC
1 - 0
LEC
50%
28%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
LEC
2 - 1
GEN
49%
29%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
PIS
3 - 2
LEC
64%
21%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
ARZ
0 - 2
LEC
46%
31%
24%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
LEC
1 - 0
PAR
51%
29%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1987 |
CES
0 - 0
TRI
54%
29%
17%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1987 |
BAR
1 - 0
CES
51%
29%
20%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1987 |
CES
1 - 1
CAM
57%
27%
16%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1987 |
VIC
2 - 2
CES
47%
30%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1987 |
CES
1 - 0
CAG
55%
27%
18%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |